I don’t believe I have ever seen a more confused state of affairs in the Republican primary battles than what we are currently experiencing. The Democratic primary also has an interesting twist, but it’s rather tame compared to the GOP debacle. We are still more than a year away from the election in November of next year and the candidates are running like the voting will take place this month. It’s become quite evident that the GOP – regardless of how hard the party bosses try – can’t get rid of Donald Trump. He had seemed invincible, getting away with making really “dumb” statements and insulting almost every American institution and all of his opponents. Nothing the man says or does had seemed to hurt him. The worse Trump acted, the stronger he appeared to be. Up to this juncture, Trump had always been in the lead, but then all of a sudden he had to deal with being second in the polls.
Dr. Ben Carson, the man who had been running second in all of the polls, except for the ones in Iowa, is much more likeable and civil and that should help him as the campaign gets further down the road. Dr. Carson’s weaknesses haven’t been exploited so far and he has been able to say very little about such important items as U.S. foreign policy. Thus far, his sole message is that he is an outsider looking in and that appears to be working. Nevertheless, on Oct. 27 Dr. Carson surged into the lead in the national polls. The first question now is how long will he be able to hold the lead? The second question is how will Trump handle adversity?
The rest of the GOP field seems to be either treading water or slowly sinking. I don’t see how Jeb Bush – the man I thought would be the GOP nominee – can stay in this race unless his poll numbers increase drastically. He has the look of a confused man and appears extremely weak. Sen. Ted Cruz seems to be working behind the scenes to inherit the votes now held by the frontrunners who he seems to think won’t be able to maintain their current poll status. His strategy may work, but I seriously doubt it. I don’t believe Sen. Cruz can be elected president regardless of what happens to Donald Trump and Dr. Carson. There is not another candidate in the race who will be able to stay in through December with the possible exception of Florida senator Marco Rubio and his chances of getting the nomination are not good.
On the Democratic side, Sen. Bernie Sanders is the poor man’s Donald Trump. Even though he is in the U.S. Senate, he runs like he’s not. Voters seem to like that he is he is anti-establishment to the core. But unlike Trump and Dr. Carson, he has a very clear message. I believe he really is a socialist. The front runner Hillary Clinton seems to have gotten an early “second wind” and is now more relaxed and likeable. She received excellent reviews from both the first debate and the Congressional hearing. But the best news for the Clinton camp so far is that Joe Biden is not going to run. His announcement on Oct. 21 put to rest the speculation that he would enter the race. Had the Vice President gotten in the race he would have been a very strong candidate. In my opinion his decision virtually guarantees the nomination for Hillary.
Contact us today for a free legal consultation with an experienced attorney.
Fields marked *may be required for submission.
If you would like to subscribe to the Jere Beasley Report digital edition, simply visit our Subscriptions page and provide the necessary information or call us at 800-898-2034.
Attorney Advertising - Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome.